KGI Asia Commentary

2023.09.21 09:00

HSI fell 111 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 111 points or 0.6% to 17,885 on Wednesday. HSTECH fell 62 points or 1.6% to 3,921 and HSCEI fell 53 points or 0.9% to 6,181. Daily market turnover was HK$71.2bn.

 

Stocks fall as Fed signals rate hikes aren't over yet

Stocks retreated on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve said it would keep interest rates steady but signaled it would raise them again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%, 76 points, the Nasdaq fell 1.5% and the S&P 500 fell 0.9%. The U.S. 2-year Treasury yield jumped to its highest level since July 2006, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit a high not seen since November 2007. The measures have raised concerns about the impact of rising interest rates and could weigh on technology stocks. Technology stocks were dragged down, with information technology and communications services the two worst-performing sectors in the S&P 500.

 

The Fed won’t raise interest rates, but is leaning toward higher-for-longer

As widely expected, the Fed kept interest rates on hold. However, the central bank said in its economic forecast that it expected to raise interest rates once more before the end of this year. The central bank has signaled that it will end its rate hikes and start cutting rates next year - although it will keep rates higher than it hinted in June. Powell attributed the hawkish policy path to a recent strengthening in the economy that could push up inflation. "The stronger economic activity means that we have to do more with rates," Powell said in response to a question about why the Fed would cut interest rates less frequently next year.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$3.1bn on Wednesday, of which Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.5bn; followed by Meituan (3690). Kuaishou (1024) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.25bn, followed by HKEX (388).

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Macau recorded the highest visitor arrivals YTD in August, with a daily average of more than 100,000 arrivals. The market is hoping to see the number of visitor arrivals return to a daily average of more than 100,000 during the October Golden Week in China, which is an 8-day holiday period this year that includes the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day. Galaxy Macau has numbers of new opening this year, including the opening of the 450 all-suite Raffles at Galaxy Macau in August. Meanwhile, the 700-room Andaz Macau has also been opened recently. In recent years, Macau has actively explored the potential in non-gaming fields, and among them, GEG started its plan many years ago. Phases 3 & 4 have a strong focus on non-gaming, primarily targeting MICE, entertainment, family facilities and also include gaming. With a more complete ecosystem in Cotai, GEG is having a higher growth potential when compared to its peers.  Target price: $65; Stop- Loss price: $47.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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