KGI Asia Commentary

2024.04.30 09:47

HSI rose 95 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index opened 86 points higher and then expanded its gains. After rising 380 points, the upward trend slowed down significantly. It rose 95 points or 0.5% today to close at 17,746 points. The HSCEI rose 13 points, or 0.2%, to close at 6,282; the HSTECH fell 4 points, or 0.1%, to close at 3,713. The total daily turnover of the market was HK$163.42bn. AIA (1299)'s new business value in the 1Q24 hit a quarterly high, and the share buyback plan increased by US$2bn, the stock price rose 6.1%. Bank of Communications (3328)'s 1Q24 net profit rose 1.4%, and its stock price rose 3.5%.

 

U.S. Treasury Department bond issuance in 2Q higher than expected

Although the Federal has continued to reduce its balance sheet by US$95bn per under the rate hike cycle, the pace of balance sheet reduction in the future may be slowed due to the U.S. Treasury Department. The U.S. Treasury Department expected debt issuance in the 2Q to be US$243bn, approximately US$41bn more than estimated in January. This is mainly due to the overestimation in January of the amount of cash at the end of March. Unless the Treasury Department is willing to offer higher debt returns to the market, the Federal may have to purchase Treasury bonds to finance the U.S. government.

All three major U.S. stock indexes recorded gains. The DJIA rose 146 points, or 0.4%, to close at 38,386; the Nasdaq composite rose 55 points, or 0.4%, to close at 15,983; and the S&P 500 rose 16 points, or 0.3%, to close at 5,116.

 

China’s gaming market revenue rose 7.2% yoy in March

According to a report from the Game Working Committee of the China Audio and Digital Association, the Chinese game market revenue in March was RMb23.42bn, a yoy increase of 7.2%, but a mom decrease of 5.9%. The report explained that the monthly decrease in market revenue was mainly due to the subsidence of the Lunar New Year and the reduction in the number of leading product activities. The game market revenue in the 1Q24 was RMb72.64bn,a yoy increase of 7.6%, but still lower than the RMb79.47bn and RMb77.04bn in the same period in 2022 and 2021 respectively.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK2.75bn on Friday, of which BOC (3988) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.58bn; followed by SenseTime (0020). Meituan (3690) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.07bn, followed by China Mobile (0941).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

AIA announced that as of the end of March this year, its new business value in the first quarter recorded USD1.327 billion, a record quarterly high, a yoy increase of 31% at constant exchange rate basis (CER) and an increase of 27% at actual exchange rates (AER). All reportable segments achieved double- digit VONB growth. VONB margin was at 54.2%, an increase of 2.1% yoy at CER, and an increase of 1.9% at AER. The new business value of AIA's China business increased by 38%, and the new business value profit margin further increased from 52.7% in the second half of last year to 54.6%. The Hong Kong business achieved a new business value growth of 43%, and the new business value profit margin increased from 58.1% in the second half of last year to 64.3%. The Group announced optimized capital management policies and increased share repurchase plans, including adding $2 billion to the existing $10 billion share repurchase plan, bringing the total to $12 billion. The additional $2 billion share repurchase target will begin as soon as feasible and is expected to be completed within approximately 12 months. Target price: $78; Stop- Loss price: $52.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.