KGI Asia Commentary

2024.04.17 09:47

Hang Seng Index fell 351 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 351 points or 2.1% to 16,248 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 104 points or 3.0% to 3,337 and HSCEI fell 112 points or 1.9% to 5,743. Daily market turnover was HK$114.5bn.

 

Powell give signal rates need to remain high for longer

U.S. stocks closed mixed on Tuesday. The Dow Jones index rose 63.66 points, or 0.17%, to 37798.77 points; the Nasdaq index fell 19.77 points, or 0.12%, to 15865.25 points; the S&P 500 index fell 10.44 points, or 15865.25 points. It was 0.21% and reported at 5051.38 points.

 

After many Federal Reserve officials earlier expressed concerns about inflation and indicated that they may slow down or delay the interest rate cut schedule, yesterday Fed Chairman Powell hinted that stubborn inflation may cause the central bank to maintain high interest rate policies for a longer period of time, saying that it will take more time to build enough confidence to cut interest rates. It also pointed out that if the Fed lacks more progress in fighting inflation and if price pressures persist, the Fed might keep interest rates unchanged "for as long as necessary."

 

The remarks once again aroused market concerns about the trend of interest rates this year. U.S. bond yields continue to rise, with the 10-year U.S. bond yield approaching 4.7%.

 

China's first-quarter GDP growth beat expectations

China announced a number of important data yesterday. The performance was mixed, and the market is most concerned about China's first-quarter GDP performance year-on-year. The announced value was 5.3%, which was higher than market expectations of 4.8% and in line with the central government's annual growth target of about 5%. On the other hand, fixed asset investment performance also exceeded expectations, but industrial added value and social retail sales data were lower than market expectations.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect saw a net inflow of HK$9.877 billion on Tuesday, of which Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest inflow, reaching HK$2.68 billion; followed by Tencent Holdings (700). Anta Sports (2020) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$309 million; followed by Meituan (3690).

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The National Energy Administration (NEA) of China recently published the "Targeted Help and Counterpart Support Work Points for 2024", deploying for the year's work objectives and key tasks. In 2024, the NEA will focus on four aspects of guidance to help revitalize the development. Firstly, it will accelerate the development of clean energy by promoting the construction of wind power and distributed photovoltaic, enhancing the power system adjustment capacity, and exploring new modes of energy development. Secondly, it will strengthen the energy supply infrastructure by consolidating and enhancing the ability to protect the power grid, making up for the shortcomings of people's energy use, and promoting the construction of heat sources for power supply. The news is a positive signal for the development of the new energy industry. As a leader in traditional thermal power, China Resources Power has at the same time strengthened its deployment of renewable energy in recent years. Total net generation of subsidiary power plants in Jan-Feb 2024 increased by 7.4% yoy to 32,644,142 MWh, among which, subsidiary wind farms increased by 9.3% yoy to 7,292,349 MWh, subsidiary photovoltaic plants increased by 201.9% yoy to 727,854 MWh. The group will continue to develop renewable energy in the future, and therefore is expected to have upsides for both profit and valuation. Target price: $23; Stop- Loss price: $17.4

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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