KGI Asia Commentary

2023.07.10 09:00

HSI fell 167 points on Friday

The Hang Seng Index opened 98 points lower at 18,435 points on Friday, the full-day decline extended to 167 points or 0.9%, closing at 18,366 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index fell 48 points, or 1.2%, to 3,901 points. HSCEI fell 70 points or 1.1% to 6,198 points. Market turnover was HK$99.4 bn. ATMs developed individually. Alibaba (9988) bucked the trend and rose more than 3.4%. Xpeng Motors (9868) retreated 5.2% to HK$54.6.

 

Non-farm payrolls below expectations, but wage growth faster than expected

 

The three major U.S. stock indexes closed down last Friday. The Dow Jones index fell 187.38 points, or 0.55%, to 33,734.88 points; the Nasdaq index fell 18 points, or 0.13%, to 13,661 points; the S&P 500 index fell 13 points, down 0.29% to 4,399 points. The performance of U.S. stocks last week was mainly affected by the hawkish stance of officials reflected in the summary of the Fed minutes, and the fact that the private labor market was still hot.

 

As for last Friday, the United States also released labor market data. Although the number of non-agricultural employment in June increased by 210,000, which was lower than the market's expected 230,000, the wage growth was higher than the market's expected month-on-month growth of 0.4%. It was slightly higher than market expectations by 0.1 percentage points, and was unchanged from the previous month's data. The lack of a slowdown in wage growth reflects a possible slowdown in the pace of the trade slowdown.

 

The rectification of technology stocks has come to an end

After the regulatory agency rectified the technology stocks earlier, last Friday, Ant Group, which is held by Alibaba (9988), was fined RMB 7.123 bn by the People's Bank of China, and it was also required to stop its "XiangHuBao" business. It reflects that the central government's rectification of technology stocks has come to an end and has turned into normalized supervision. Ant Group announced that it will repurchase, and the repurchase ratio will not exceed 7.6% of the total share capital.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$ 4.19 bn on Friday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest inflow, reaching HK$770 mn; followed by Meituan (3690). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$2.81 bn; followed by Hang Seng China Enterprises (2828).

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Operating revenues of the Company amounted to RMB481.4bn, representing an increase of 9.5% over last year. EBITDA amounted to RMB130.4bn, increased 5.2% yoy. Net profit amounted to RMB27.6bn, increased 6.3% yoy. In 2022, mobile communications service revenues amounted to RMB191.0bn, representing an increase of 3.7% over the last year, maintaining favorable growth. The penetration rate of 5G package subscribers reached 68.5% and mobile ARPU grew 0.4% yoy reaching RMB45.2. The Company is moving forward with its “Cloudification and Digital Transformation” strategy, stepping up the construction of intelligent and comprehensive digital information infrastructure, and actively building the industrial ecologies of 5G, cloud computing, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and industrial intelligent manufacturing. The company expects to record a 70% growth of the Cloud revenue. That say, the Company has stable core business, coupled with emerging businesses that are bringing in new growth potentials. The full year dividend of 2022 amounts to RMB0.196 per share, represents the payout ratio to be at 65% of the profit attributable to equity holders of the Company for the year. Management is confident it can post double-digit profit growth this year, implying a higher dividend per share for the year. Target price: $5.2; Stop- Loss price: $3.6.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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