KGI Asia Commentary

2024.03.07 09:00

Hang Seng Index rose 275 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 275 points or 1.7% to 16,438 on Wednesday. HSTECH rose 88 points or 2.7% to 3,412 and HSCEI rose 110 points or 2.0% to 5,672. Daily market turnover was HK$102.3bn.

 

The S&P and Nasdaq closed higher on Wednesday

The S&P closed higher on Wednesday as technology stocks began to rebound as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stepped up expectations for a rate cut later this year. The S&P 500 rose 0.51% to 5,104.76 points, and the Nasdaq rose 0.58% to 16,031.54 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 75.86 points, or 0.2%, to close at 38,661.05 points. Technology stocks regained the upper hand, pushing the broader market higher as recent declines in chip stocks attracted bargain hunting, with Nvidia, Intel, TSMC and Wolfspeed among the top gainers. TSMC closed nearly 5% higher. JPMorgan Chase raised TSMC’s target price from NT$770 to NT$850, citing market optimism about demand for artificial intelligence-related chips. In terms of financial reports, the stock price of cybersecurity company CrowdStrike surged about 11% after it announced quarterly earnings and financial forecasts that exceeded market expectations. Campbell Soup shares rose nearly 1% after the company reported fourth-quarter results that beat analysts' expectations, boosted by a price increase, and reiterated full-year guidance. Luxury department store chain Nordstrom's shares fell 16% after the company reported disappointing annual earnings forecasts.

 

Powell says Fed will act "carefully" but reiterates imminent rate cuts

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated on Wednesday that he expects interest rates to start falling this year but is not yet ready to say when. “The Committee does not expect that it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent,” Powell said. He noted again that lowering rates too quickly risks losing the battle against inflation and likely having to raise rates further, while waiting too long poses danger to economic growth.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK1.15bn on Wednesday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.60bn; followed by China Mobile (941). PetroChina (857) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.23bn, followed by ICBC (1398).

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The Company previously issued profit alert. According to the preliminary estimate, the net profit attributable to the shareholders of the Company in 2023 is estimated to be in the range of RMB8bn to RMB9bn, representing a turnaround from the loss recorded for2022. Such turnaround was due to the decrease in domestic coal prices and increase in sales volume of electricity from previous financial year. The increase in the electricity sold by the Company in 2023 was mainly attributable to the yoy rise in the Company’s power generation driven by the growth in electricity consumption of the whole society in 2023. The Company’s thermal power played a crucial role in peak protection and support regulation during the summer and winter heating periods, resulting in a yoy increase in thermal power generation volume. The Company has expedited its development of green and low-carbon energy sources, with significant annual growth in installed capacity and power generation from wind and PV. As of March 5, the "CCTD Bohai Rim Thermal Coal Spot Reference Price" of three specifications of 5500K, 5000K, and 4500K closed at RMB922, RMB815, and RMB708/ton respectively, down RMB3, RMB4, and RMB2/ton from the previous month. Compared with the Spring Festival, the previous increase was only about narrowed to RMB10. As the temperature rises, it is difficult for coal prices to rise, which is beneficial to the company's cost side. Target price: $5.6; Stop- Loss price: $4.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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