KGI Asia Commentary

2023.07.03 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 18 points on Friday

 

The Hang Seng Index opened 53 points lower at 18,881. The Hang Seng Index fell 18 points to 18,916 points on friday; the H-Share Index dropped slightly by 2 points to 6,425 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 22 points or 0.6% to 3,911 points. The market turnover was HK$ 81.1 bn. New energy auto stocks performed well, among which Xpeng (9868) surged 10% and NIO (9866) rose 4.8%, driven by strong orders for new models launched by Xpeng (9868). Lithium stocks also performed well. Ganfeng Lithium (1772) and Tianqi Lithium (9696) rose 2.8% and 5.3% respectively.

 

Yellen reiterates confidence in U.S. economy

Last Friday, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones index rose 285 points, or 0.84%, to 34,408 points; the Nasdaq index rose 196 points, or 1.45%, to 13,788 points; the S&P 500 index rose 54 points, or 1.23%, to 4,450 points. In terms of performance in the first half of the year, the Nasdaq index soared 31.73%, the S&P 500 index rose 15.51%, and the Dow Jones index rose more moderately at 3.8%.

 

In terms of economic data, the price index for personal consumption expenditures in May released last Friday rose 0.1% month-on-month, and the year-on-year index growth fell to 3.8%, the lowest year-on-year increase in more than two years. As for the core PCE price index excluding food and energy, it rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 4.6% year-on-year, indicating that the pressure on high underlying prices has hardly eased. In addition, on Friday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen reiterated her optimism about the U.S. economy, saying that although some economic indicators are slowing, it is expected that the current strength of the labor market, as well as strong household and corporate balance sheets will be the source of economic strength.

Official Manufacturing PMI Released

The National Bureau of Statistics announced the PMI index for June. The manufacturing PMI index was 49, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Although still in the contraction range, the decline has slowed down compared with last month. The PMI of medium and large enterprises was 50.3, which remained at expansion range, 0.3 percentage points higher from the previous month, represent the expansion accelerated from the previous month. As for the non-manufacturing PMI, it was 53.2, maintaining the expansion range for six consecutive months.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$ 1.66 bn on Friday. Among them, Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest inflow, reaching HK$480 million; followed by China Mobile (941). HSBC (0005) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$300 million; followed by Tencent (700).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

Four departments including the Ministry of Commerce recently jointly issued the "Notice on Promoting the Consumption of Green Smart Home Appliances in 2023", and will continue to organize and carry out activities to promote the consumption of home appliances. The Ministry of Commerce will further promote the replacement of old and new home appliances and promote the spread of green smart household appliances in rural areas. At present, consumer demand for new and upgraded home appliances continues to grow. According to the sales data of major e-commerce platforms, from January to May, the sales of home appliance trade-in and green smart home appliances in rural areas increased by 83.7% and 12.6% respectively yoy. Haier has a global portfolio of home appliance brands consisting of Haier, Casarte, Leader, GE Appliances, Candy, Fisher & Paykel and AQUA. The Haier brand refrigeration appliances and laundry appliances also ranked first among major home appliance brands in the world in terms of retail volume for almost one and a half decade. According to CMM, the Company’s home appliance retail sales market share in China amounted to 28.1%, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.4 percentage points. Haier can be directly benefit from the policy tailwind. Target price: $29; Stop- Loss price: $22.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.