KGI Asia Commentary

2023.09.19 09:00

HSI fell 252 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index opened 113 points lower and fell 181 points in the mid-day. The HSI fell further in the afternoon, closing at 17,930 today, down 252 points or 1.4%. The HSTECH reported at 3,987, down 90 points or 2.2%. The HSCEI fell 100 points, or 1.6%, to 6,209. The market turnover was HK$84.51bn. Chinese research institution pointed out that the transaction area in first-tier cities fell by 8.9% WoW last week, and Chinese property stocks generally fell. The share prices of Longfor (0960) and China Resources Land (1109) fell by 2.6% and 3.4% respectively. Sunac China (1918) is rumored to be spinning off its real estate projects in Hainan, and its stock price rose 6.9%.

 

Yellen remains confident amid auto industry strike crisis

Regarding whether the current U.S. auto industry strike will stimulate inflation again, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said that it was still early to judge the impact of the U.S. auto industry strike on the economy, and she was confident that labor union and vehicle manufacturers will continue to negotiate to reach a solution. She believed that the current labor market was still in a healthy state. Given the small number of labors in the strikes, wage increases will have limited effect on pushing up inflation. Although the reduction in automobile supply provides resistance to slowing inflation, rising automobile inventories also make it more difficult for automakers to pass on costs to consumers.

 

All three major U.S. stock indexes recorded slight gains. The S&P 500 rose 3 points, or 0.07%, to close at 4,453 points; the DJIA rose 6 points, or 0.02%, to close at 34,624 points; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1 point, or 0.01%, to close at 34,624 points. 13,710 points.

 

Shanghai’s building transactions are reflecting the divergence of recovery momentum

After the central government launched a series of policy for the property market, housing sales were currently in a relatively differentiated situation. According to mainland agency data, the transaction area of first-hand residential buildings in Shanghai last week was 86,800 square meters, a WoW increase of 53.3%. However, the overall transaction area of the Shanghai real estate market fell by 15.1% on a WoW, reflecting that the secondary market was still frozen, and investors were not willing to enter the market until the fundamentals changed.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect saw a net inflow of HK$8.73bn on Monday. Among them, Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$3.84bn; followed by Southern Hang Seng Technology (3033). Sunac China (1918) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$17mn.

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Macau recorded the highest visitor arrivals YTD in August, with a daily average of more than 100,000 arrivals. The market is hoping to see the number of visitor arrivals return to a daily average of more than 100,000 during the October Golden Week in China, which is an 8-day holiday period this year that includes the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day. Galaxy Macau has numbers of new opening this year, including the opening of the 450 all-suite Raffles at Galaxy Macau in August. Meanwhile, the 700-room Andaz Macau has also been opened recently. In recent years, Macau has actively explored the potential in non-gaming fields, and among them, GEG started its plan many years ago. Phases 3 & 4 have a strong focus on non-gaming, primarily targeting MICE, entertainment, family facilities and also include gaming. With a more complete ecosystem in Cotai, GEG is having a higher growth potential when compared to its peers.  Target price: $65; Stop- Loss price: $47.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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