KGI Asia Commentary

2023.05.11 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 105 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 105 points or 0.5% to 19,762 on Wednesday. HSTECH rose 12 points or 0.3% to 3,811 and HSCEI fell 51 points or 0.8% to 6,683. Daily market turnover was HK$98.8bn.

 

Nasdaq closes 1% higher on Wednesday after inflation data misses expectations

The Dow closed slightly lower on Wednesday, as a surge in big tech stocks helped offset losses in energy and financials. The Nasdaq Composite closed higher after inflation data came in below expectations. Nasdaq, which is dominated by technology stocks, rose 1.04% to close at 12306.44 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.45% to close at 4,137.64. In the end, the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged down 0.09%, or 30.48 points, to end at 33,531.33. U.S. Treasury yields fell after the report, further supporting growth stocks. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note fell about 11 basis points to 3.91%, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 8 basis points to 3.44%. Shares of Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. rose. Alphabet shares rose more than 4% as the company unveiled a slew of new products, including a new folding smartphone, and announced it would integrate generative artificial intelligence into Google Search. On the earnings front, Airbnb was in the spotlight for investors, down more than 10%, as downbeat guidance from the company offset better-than-expected first-quarter revenue. The company expects bookings to grow at a slower rate than revenue in the second quarter of this year, with average daily rental rate to be "slightly lower" than the same period last year.

 

Inflation falls to 4.9% in April, below expectations

The consumer price index rose 0.4 percent last month, driven by higher prices for housing, used cars and gasoline. The increase was in line with Wall Street expectations. On an annual basis, inflation came in at 4.9%, just below expectations for 5% and the slowest annual rate since April 2021, offering some hope that the inflation trend is down. The year-on-year increase in March was 5%. Shelter costs, which account for about one-third of the CPI's weight, rose another 0.4 percent in the month, or 8.1 percent year-on-year. The monthly gain eased from previous months but still suggested a key inflation driver was on the rise. After excluding the volatile food and energy categories, the core CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year, both in line with expectations. According to FedWatch, traders lowered the chances of a rate hike at the Fed's June meeting to 20 percent.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$0.23bn on Wednesday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.60bn; followed by HSCEI ETF (2828). CCB (939) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.59bn, followed by China Mobile (941).

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BYD announced that its NEV sales volume grew 91.8% to 762k units over the first four months of this year. As a review of its quarterly result, BYD recorded an operating revenue of RMB120.1bn, an increase of 79.8% yoy in 1Q23, mainly due to the growth in sales volume of new energy vehicles. Operating costs were RMB98.7mn, an increase of 68.6%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB4.13bn, surged by 410.9%. BYD's market share in China's new energy vehicle market reached 35% in the first quarter. Despite the price cut of the industry, BYD’s sales was better than expected, as it has a competitive brand and price positioning. At the same time, the gross profit margin has increased due to the decline in lithium prices. The GPM of BYD was at 17.9% in 1Q23, an increase of 5 percentage points compared to 1Q22. Looking ahead, the drop in lithium prices may lead to further improvement in gross profit in the second quarter, and the launch of BYD's new car models can further improve the product mix. The sales target of BYD for this year is 3 million vehicles, including overseas and mainland markets. Based on last year's overall sales volume of approximately 1.868 million vehicles, it is expected to increase by more than 60% year-on-year. Although the price war is the market concern, BYD's quarterly results and the customer feedback of the Shanghai Auto Show reflect that BYD is able to stand out from the crowd with its own strategy. Target price: $285; Stop- Loss price: $210.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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