KGI Asia Commentary

2023.09.27 09:00

HSI fell 262 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 262 points or 1.48% to 17,467 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 65 points or 1.7% to 3,817 and HSCEI fell 99 points or 1.6% to 6,030. Daily market turnover was HK$82.4bn.

 

Markets fall as interest rate scare extends October sell-off

U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday after the latest home sales and consumer confidence reports raised concerns about the state of the U.S. economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 388.00 points, or 1.14%, to 33,618.88 points, its worst day since March. The S&P 500 fell 1.47% to 4,273.53, closing below 4,300 for the first time since June 9. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq fell 1.57% to 13,063.61 points. Amazon's shares fell 4%, the biggest decliner among large technology stocks, after the U.S. Federal Trade Commission filed an antitrust lawsuit. The FTC alleged that the online retailer artificially raised prices to the detriment of competitors. JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon added to the bearish sentiment on Tuesday when he warned that further interest rate hikes may be needed to curb inflation. Bank stocks fell, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banks ETF (KRE) down more than 1%. Investors are also grappling with negotiations in Washington this week as lawmakers look to avoid a government shutdown that could occur as early as Oct. 1 if Congress cannot agree on a spending bill.

 

Economic worries return

New home sales in August were less than expected. Data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that the total number of housing contracts in August was 675,000, down 8.7% from July. Economists had expected 695,000, a 2.7% drop from the unrevised July figure. Meanwhile, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 103 in September from 108.7 in August. Economists expected 105.5.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$0.15bn on Tuesday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.52bn; followed by Meituan (3690). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.6bn, followed by CSOP HS TECH (3033).

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Operating revenues of the Company in 1H23 amounted to RMB260.7bn, representing an increase of 7.6% yoy. Of which, service revenues grew 6.6% yoy to RMB236.0bn, remaining above the industry’s growth rate. EBITDA grew 5% yoy, and amounted to RMB73.3bn. The Company is moving forward with its “Cloudification and Digital Transformation” strategy, stepping up the construction of intelligent and comprehensive digital information infrastructure, and actively building the industrial ecologies of 5G, cloud computing, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and industrial intelligent manufacturing. Revenue from Industrial Digitalization service reached RMB68.8bn, representing an increase of 16.7% yoy, maintaining its rapid growth trend. Revenue from China Telecom Cloud reached RMB45.9bn, representing a yoy growth of 63.4%. The management expects cloud revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of the year, and maintains the target of a full-year revenue scale of RMB100bn. China Telecom declared an interim dividend of RMB0.1432 per share based on its 65% payout ratio, and that it will rise to over 70% by the end of 2023. Overall, the interim results are in line with expectations, and the dividend payout ratio is attractive, thus the investment value is still there. Target price: $4.9; Stop- Loss price: $3.6.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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