KGI Asia Commentary

2023.02.06 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 298 points on Friday

The Hang Seng Index opened 147 points lower at 21,811, and extended its daily decline to 298 points at 21,660. HSCEI fell 119 points or 1.6% to 7,387. HSTECH fell 62 points or 1.3% to 4,634. The total daily turnover was HK$129.9bn. Sa Sa International (178) rose 3.4% to HK$2.1, MINISO (9896) rose 8.2% to HK$31.75. In addition, Chia Tai Enterprise International (3839) rose 23% today to HK$4.56 after a choppy trend.

 

 

US NFP beat consensus in January; inflation from service industry was very sticky

The U.S. Department of Labor announced that non-farm payroll increased by 517,000 in January, compared with market consensus of an increase of 185,000; the unemployment rate was 3.4%, compared to expectations of 3.6%. U.S. private sector jobs increased by 443,000 in January, beating market consensus for an increase of 190,000. In the U.S. Department of Labor's statement, the catering industry and education & health were the industries with the largest increase in jobs, increasing by 105,000 and 98,000 respectively. These two divisions are also classified as service industries. Combined with the high expected 55.2 of the ISM PMI in January, it reflects that labors in service industry are still very over-demanding. The core inflation rate before the first quarter may be difficult to suppress

The three major U.S. stock indexes fell on Friday, with the Nasdaq down 193 points or 1.59% to 12,006. The S&P 500 down 43 points or 1.04% to 4,136, and the Dow Jones down 127 points or 0.38% to 33,926 point.

China sales of new energy vehicles in January drop 45% MoM

The China Passenger Car Market Information Association released the forecast of the new energy passenger car market in January 2023, indicating that the wholesale sales of new energy vehicles manufacturers fell by about 45% MoM to 410,000 units, and it is expected that there will be large-scale sales in February rebound. In addition to seasonal factors, the sharp decline in sales was mainly due to withdrawn new energy vehicle subsidies since 2023. Meanwhile, Shanghai announced the continuation of the replacement subsidy for new energy vehicles at the end of January, with a maximum subsidy of RMb10,000 per vehicle. The Mainland's “Two Sessions” will start in early March. It is believed that before the meeting, Chinese government will announce new subsidy arrangements for new energy vehicles to boost domestic auto demand.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$604mn on Friday. Among them, Hang Seng China Enterprises (2828) had the largest net inflow of HK$592mn; followed by Tracker Fund (2800). Tencent (0700) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$792mn, followed by Meituan (3690).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

The Company is moving forward with its “Cloudification and Digital Transformation” strategy, stepping up the construction of intelligent and comprehensive digital information infrastructure, and actively building the industrial ecologies of 5G, cloud computing, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and industrial intelligent manufacturing. China Telecom has won orders for cloud business and content delivery network (CDN) projects worth more than RMB100 million in government administration, public utility, Internet and industrial manufacturing. In the first three quarters of 2022, the company recorded a YoY increase of 16.5% in industrial digitalization service revenue to RMB85.6 billion. Revenue from e-Surfing Cloud continued to double. Overall, it has stable core business, coupled with emerging businesses that are bringing in new growth potentials.  Target price: $4.3; Stop- Loss price: $3.3.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.