KGI Asia Commentary

2023.11.16 09:00

HSI rose 682 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 682 points or 3.9% to 18,079 on Wednesday. HSTECH rose 174 points or 4.4% to 4,125 and HSCEI rose 239 points or 4.0% to 6,204. Daily market turnover was HK$134.9bn.

 

Dow closes higher as Target rebound lifts retailer shares

The Dow closed higher on Wednesday as data showed inflation continued to slow and Target Corp's third-quarter results beat expectations, pushing the retailer's shares higher. The S&P 500 index rose 0.16% to close at 4502.88 points, and the Nasdaq index edged up 0.07% to close at 14103.84 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 163.51 points, or 0.47%, to close at 34,991.21 points. Retail giant Target (TGT) reported better-than-expected profits and a smaller-than-expected same-store sales decline of 4.9%. The company's guidance for the fourth quarter was in line with expectations, and its stock price closed up nearly 18%. Tech stocks took a breather from a day earlier on weakness in the Meta platform, even as Microsoft unveiled its own AI chip, the Maia 100, expected to compete with Nvidia as demand for artificial intelligence hardware accelerates. As lawmakers sought to avert a government shutdown, the House of Representatives passed a bill late Tuesday that included a “laddered” continuing resolution. The measure will go to the Senate for a vote. If approved by lawmakers, the bill will be sent to President Biden. Without a funding bill, the federal government will shut down this weekend.

 

Inflation shows further signs of cooling

Producer prices fell to 1.3% in October from September's 2.2%, below the expectations of 1.9%, adding to optimism that slowing inflation will persist, a day after October's CPI showing a larger than expected slowdown. Optimism about a continued slowdown in inflation continues to support bets that the Fed's rate hike cycle is over, which could pave the way for a rate cut as early as the first half of next year. On the other side, retail sales fell 0.1% in October, stronger than the expected decline of 0.3%. 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$9.54bn on Wednesday, of which Kuaishou (1024) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.20bn; followed by CNOOC (883). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$4.3bn, followed by Tencent (700).

 

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Tencent announced its 3Q results, with quarterly revenue of RMB154.63bn, increased by 10% yoy, slightly lower than market expectations of RMB154.8bn; operating profit of RMB48.48bn, a 6% decrease from 3Q22, but an increase of 20% from 2Q23, beating the market forecast of RMB43.4bn.  Adjusted net profit was RMB44.92bn, increased by 39% yoy, beating the market expectations of RMB39.98bn. Revenues from VAS increased by 4% yoy to RMB75.7bn. Domestic Games revenues grew by 5% to RMB32.7bn, driven by the recent launches of Lost Ark and VALORANT, as well as increased revenues from evergreen titles such as Honour of Kings and DnF. Revenues from Online Advertising were RMB25.7bn for 3Q23, up 20% yoy, propelled by robust advertising demand for Video Accounts, mobile ad network, and Weixin Search, with notable growth in the local services and FMCG categories. Revenues from FinTech and Business Services increased by 16% yoy to RMB52bn for 3Q23. Tencent achieved notable margin expansion, favored by the relatively new services such as Video Accounts and Mini Games which contributed high margin revenue streams. Meanwhile, the AI development of the Company is creating new growth opportunities and enriching its ecosystem. Target price: $430; Stop- Loss price: $300.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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