KGI Asia Commentary

2023.06.07 09:00

HSI fell 9 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 9 points or 0.0% to 19,099 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 6 points or 0.2% to 3,834 and HSCEI rose 15 points or 0.2% to 6,479. Daily market turnover was HK$102.4bn.

S&P 500 rises Tuesday, closes at highest level for 2023

U.S. stocks ended higher as investors renewed interest in regional banks, while a climb in technology stocks also helped offset losses in healthcare stocks. The S&P 500 gained 0.24% to close at 4,283.85, near a nine-month high. It was also the highest close for the broad index since August 2022. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.36% to close at 13,276.42, also a closing high for 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.03%, or 10.42 points, to end at 33,573.2. Financials were the best-performing sector on the day, led by regional banks including US Bancorp, Zions Bancorporation and East West Bancorp. Alphabet, meanwhile, helped lift tech stocks, even as Apple continued to be under pressure. Among health stocks, Elevance Health Inc (ELV), Merck & Co (MRK) and Illumina Inc (ILMN) fell, with the latter down more than 4%, as it continues to battle regulators to salvage a deal to acquire cancer startup Grail. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission asked Illumina to withdraw its $7 billion acquisition of Grail, and Illumina appealed Monday. Boeing Co fell slightly after the plane maker said it would delay delivery of its 737 Dreamliner, citing a production defect. In crypto-related news, regulatory heat rose as the SEC filed a lawsuit against cryptocurrency platform Coinbase Global (COIN), alleging the platform violated U.S. regulations, sending its shares lower 12%. This comes just a day after the SEC sued Binance for multiple security violations, including misappropriating customer funds.

 

World Bank raises 2023 global growth forecast, but cuts next year's growth forecast

The World Bank raised its 2023 global growth forecast as the U.S., China and other major economies showed more resilience than expected, but said higher interest rates and tighter credit would weigh more heavily on next year's results. Global real gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by 2.1% this year, the World Bank said in its latest Global Economic Prospects report released on Tuesday. That was higher than the 1.7% growth forecast issued in January, but well below the 3.1% growth expected in 2022. The World Development Bank cut its forecast for global economic growth in 2024 to 2.4% from 2.7% in January, citing the lagged impact of tighter central bank monetary policy and tighter credit conditions that are reducing business and residential investment.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$8.1bn on Tuesday, of which China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.23bn; followed by PetroChina (939). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$6.5bn, followed by HSCEI ETF (2828).

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BYD announced that its sales volume grew 95.7% to 100.2k units over the first five months of this year. Despite the price cut of the industry, BYD’s sales was better than expected, as it has a competitive brand and price positioning. At the same time, the gross profit margin has increased due to the decline in lithium prices. The GPM of BYD was at 17.9% in 1Q23, an increase of 5 percentage points compared to 1Q22. Looking ahead, the drop in lithium prices may lead to further improvement in gross profit in the second quarter, and the launch of BYD's new car models can further improve the product mix. The sales target of BYD for this year is 3 million vehicles, including overseas and mainland markets. Based on last year's overall sales volume of approximately 1.868 million vehicles, it is expected to increase by more than 60% year-on-year. Although the price war is the market concern, BYD's quarterly results and the customer feedback of the Shanghai Auto Show reflect that BYD is able to stand out from the crowd with its own strategy. Target price: $285; Stop- Loss price: $210.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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