2026.01.15
Policy variables offset inflation benefits

Daily focusFast Retailing Group (6288)

While holding a leading market position, the company is facing an anti-monopoly investigation by the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) for allegedly abusing its dominant position to interfere with pricing. This regulatory risk is currently the core variable. If violations are found, the company may face administrative fines ranging from 1% to 10% of its previous year's revenue and be forced to adjust its business model, putting pressure on profit margins. Before the investigation results become clear, policy uncertainty will cause market volatility, and the stock price is expected to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Investors should be highly vigilant about downside risks and are advised to adopt a cautious wait-and-see approach until the compliance path is clarified.

Policy variables offset inflation benefits

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 down 0.53%. Weak bank earnings and policy shocks were the market focus. JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo underperformed, and the government's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% severely impacted the financial sector. Furthermore, Federal Reserve Chairman candidate Reid's interview today, with his dovish stance sparking heated debate, further fueled the market's reaction. Banks face threats of narrowing interest rate spreads and pricing constraints, causing a sharp drop in sector valuations and offsetting the benefits of cooling inflation. If interest rate restrictions materialize, bank profit models will be reshaped, and investors are repricing financial stocks.

Hong Kong Stock Connect recorded a net inflow of HK$2.87bn on Wednesday, with Tencent Holdings (0700) recording the largest net inflow at HK$2.01bn, followed by Alibaba Health (0241); China Mobile (0941) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$910mn, followed by Xiaomi Group-W (1810).

2026.01.14
Market Roundup

Hong Kong stock market perform well, driven by Alibaba-related stocks. The HSI opened 123 points higher and the gains widened, but the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges announced an increase in margin requirements at noon, causing the HSI to fall as much as 68 points. The HSI closed up 151 points, or 0.6%, at 26,999; the HSCEI rose 30 points, or 0.3%, to 9,315; and the HSTECH rose 38 points, or 0.7%, to 5,908. Total market turnover increased to HK$340.4bn. Reports indicate that Alibaba (9988) has surpassed 100mn monthly active users and is rumored to be releasing a major product upgrade tomorrow; its share price rose 5.7%. Alibaba Health (0241) recently exclusively launched the world's first innovative topical drug for infantile hemangiomas, and its shares rose 19%.

Source: KGI Investment Products and Solutions Department

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

2026.01.13
Solid Core, Diversified Your Yield

CES 2026 will focus on three main themes: AI, digital health, and automotive solutions. These can be summarized as more concrete AI applications, extending from the cloud to more edge computing platforms, including AI PC, humanoid robots, and the integration of AI into automobiles and smart home appliances. Among these, NVIDIA's Rubin chip will enter mass production...

 

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