Daily focus：Alibaba (9988)
The company's latest quarter results showed steady growth, with significant increases driven by its core e-commerce business and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) business. Its cloud business also led the industry with its AI and innovative applications, with both revenue and profit exceeding market expectations. The synergy of diversified businesses helped the group withstand profit pressure and contributed to overall gross margin improvement. Looking ahead, Alibaba will focus on cloud expansion and service innovation to consolidate its technology ecosystem and long-term growth potential.
80% chance to see a rate cut in December
U.S. stock traders are closely watching for any news that could influence the Federal Reserve's subsequent monetary policy decisions. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the market expects a greater than 80% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Furthermore, sources indicate that Hassett is considered the frontrunner in the race to succeed current Fed Chair Powell, according to Trump's advisors and allies. Traders have rapidly increased their bets on rate cuts over the next year, reflecting a consensus market expectation that Hassett will implement the aggressive rate cuts called for by President Donald Trump.
Hong Kong Stock Connect saw a net inflow of HK$11.1 billion on Tuesday, with Alibaba (9988) experiencing the largest net inflow at HK$5.6 billion, followed by Kuaishou (1024). On the other hand, CNOOC (883) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$203 million, followed by SMIC (981).
Market consensus for rate cut next month led to a three-day winning streak for the DJIA, and Hong Kong stock market followed suit. The HSI opened 152 points higher but gains narrowed slightly, closing up 118 points or 0.5% at 26,013; the HSCEI rose 45 points or 0.5% to 9,203; and the HSTECH gained 28 points or 0.5% to close at 5,640. Total turnover was HK$113.95bn. Alibaba (9988) reported adjusted EBITA in line with consensus, but management anticipates slower CMR growth in e-commerce next quarter, causing its share price to fall 1.1% today. Pony.ai (2026), a smart mobility stock, reported a non-GAAP loss widening to US$5.47mn for the quarter, but profits from its city-level bike-sharing service turned positive, causing its share price to rise 4.3%.
Source: KGI Investment Products and Solutions Department
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