2026.03.17
Oil and Inflation at Crossroads Amid Iran War

Daily focus Real-Time Quote

Leapmotor (9863): projected revenue of RMB 64.73 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 101.3%. Total deliveries for the year reached 596,555 units, a year-on-year increase of 103.1%. The company successfully turned a profit, recording a net profit of RMB 540 million, a significant improvement compared to a loss of RMB 2.82 billion last year. Looking ahead, the company will launch several new models, including the A series and D platform models, to support its future growth targets and continue to advance strategic partnerships with major automakers to deepen its global footprint. In summary, the company had RMB 37.88 billion in cash on hand at the end of the year. Although it has successfully crossed the profit inflection point, whether it can effectively control the surge in operating expenses in the face of fierce industry competition will be a concern for investors.

Oil and Inflation at Crossroads Amid Iran War

The conflict with Iran entered its third week, with US President Trump issuing stronger warnings to allies and demanding military support, leading to market expectations that the risk to oil supply is temporarily under control. The Fed's interest rate meeting this week will hinge on whether high oil prices will reignite inflation and delay rate cuts. If oil prices surge again, long-term interest rates and growth stock valuations may be further suppressed; conversely, if energy supply gradually recovers and oil prices stabilize, energy, defensive, and high-quality technology stocks with strong cash flow and pricing power are expected to benefit from both peaking interest rates and a recovery in risk appetite.

Hong Kong Stock Connect saw a net outflow of HK$1.25 billion on Monday, with Tencent Holdings (0700) experiencing the largest inflow at HK$2.29 billion, followed by Alibaba-W (9988). The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$3.57 billion, followed by Xiaomi Group-W (1810).

2026.03.16
Market Roundup

Hong Kong stock rose, driven by technology and auto stocks. The HSI opened 29 points lower but rallied to close up 368 points, or 1.4%, at 25,834; the HSCEI rose 144 points, or 1.7%, to close at 8,816; and the HSTECH rose 133 points, or 2.7%, to close at 5,111. Total market turnover was HK$264.5bn. Tech stocks led the gains, with Tencent (0700) rising 2% to HK$558.5, following reports that WeChat for Business now supports one-click QR code access to OpenClaw. Hua Hong (1347) rose 7.4%, reportedly preparing for mass production of 7-nanometer chips.

Source: KGI Investment Products and Solutions Department

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

2026.03.17
Equity Strategy Amid Oil Volatility

Despite softer U.S. employment data and stable CPI, rising oil prices have renewed inflation concerns...

 

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