2026.02.04
Global resource competition

Daily focus Real-Time Quote

Tencent Holdings (0700): The market panicked due to the adjustment of the tax rate on virtual goods in games, but the official statement has clarified that the tax rate for such goods will remain at 6%, and Tencent's gaming business will not be affected. Policy certainty eliminates false risks, allowing its valuation to return to rationality after being mistakenly suppressed. Tencent's flagship titles, *Honor of Kings* and *Peacekeeper Elite*, are leading in the market, demonstrating strong cash flow capabilities. Short-term market reactions often deviate from fundamentals; investors should reassess the long-term growth potential and valuation rationality of Tencent's gaming business.

Global resource competition

US President Trump launched a $12 billion "Project Vault," partnering with private companies to establish national reserves of key minerals such as rare earths, lithium, and cobalt, aiming to reduce dependence on foreign supply chains. Simultaneously, China is quietly accelerating the expansion of its strategic copper reserves through its State Reserves Bureau, a move clearly a defensive measure in response to the escalating global resource competition. This indicates that the US-China rivalry has escalated into a resource control war, and geopolitics is reshaping the pricing logic of commodities. Commodities are shifting from a "just-in-time" approach, prioritizing maximum capital efficiency, to a "just-in-case" approach. Commodities are no longer priced solely by market supply and demand, but instead are imbued with a premium reflecting national strategic security.

Hong Kong Stock Connect recorded a net inflow of HK$950 million on Tuesday, with Tencent Holdings (0700) recording the largest net inflow at HK$1.96 billion, followed by Southern Hang Seng Technology (3033); while Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$3.76 billion, followed by SMIC (981).

2026.02.03
Market Roundup

The Hang Seng Index opened 220 points higher, initially rising 350 points to a high of 27,126 before declining, falling as much as 343 points to a low of 26,431. It recovered its losses before noon, closing up 59 points or 0.2% at 26,834. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 27 points or 0.3% to close at 9,053, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 59 points or 1.1% to close at 5,467. Total market turnover was HK$335.152 billion. Rumors circulated that China's financial industry and online value-added services might face a VAT rate increase, but state media, citing authoritative experts and industry insiders, reported that the rumors were untrue. NetEase (9999) reversed its losses and rose 0.3%.

Source: KGI Investment Products and Solutions Department

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

2026.02.03
Multi Asset Portfolio at the Core
President Trump stated that he feels “comfortable” with a weaker U.S. dollar while criticizing Asian currencies for being excessively weak. His remarks accelerated the dollar’s decline, with the Dollar Index briefly falling below 96 — it slowest level since early 2022...

 

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