2025.12.22
University of Michigan Data Shows Mixed Results

Daily focusSF Holding (6936)

November logistics data shows the industry is undergoing a crucial transformation from a "price war" to high-quality development. During the Double 11 shopping festival, the industry's total parcel volume reached 13.94 billion, with a single-day peak of 777 million parcels, and the average daily processing volume increased by 18% compared to normal days. Unlike previous years' focus on scale, this year the market is paying more attention to rational pricing and service quality under regulatory guidance, resulting in a narrowing trend in the overall decline in per-parcel prices.

 

University of Michigan Data Shows Mixed Results

The latest data from the University of Michigan reveals a complex and mixed picture of the US economy. While the final December consumer confidence index rose slightly to 52.9, it remained below market expectations and at a historically low level, reflecting extremely fragile consumer sentiment. On the positive side, inflation expectations cooled significantly, with the one-year inflation expectation falling to 4.2%, a new low in 11 months, and the long-term expectation also declining to 3.2%, indicating that the Federal Reserve's anti-inflation measures are gradually taking effect, and consumer panic about runaway prices has eased somewhat. However, underlying concerns cannot be ignored. Consumers' assessment of the "current situation" has declined rather than improved, and anxiety about the labor market is replacing inflation as the new source of panic.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect saw a net inflow of HK$3.37 billion on Friday, with Tencent Holdings (700) experiencing the largest net inflow at HK$1.12 billion, followed by Alibaba (9988); China Mobile (941) saw the largest net outflow at HK$1.05 billion, followed by Horizon Robotics (9660).

2025.12.22
Market Roundup

The Hang Seng Index opened 105 points higher, initially rising 169 points to 25,860, before falling 19 points to stabilize and closing up 111 points or 0.43% at 25,801. The H-share Index rose 38 points or 0.43% to 8,939, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.87% to close at 5,526. Total market turnover was HK$169.7 billion. Among blue-chip stocks, SMIC (0981) rose 5.92% to HK$68.9, driven by the strong performance of the semiconductor sector; SenseTime (0020), a constituent stock of the Hang Seng Tech Index, rose 8.51% to HK$2.04. On the downside, WuXi Biologics (2269) fell 2.99% to HK$33.14. All four newly listed stocks declined, with BenQ Hospital (2581) falling 49.46% to HK$4.72, the worst performer.

Source: KGI Investment Products and Solutions Department

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

2025.09.30
Capex War

The AI Big four spent $230bn in capex. AI applications are driving demand for data centers and energy facilities, boosting jobs and productivity, as well as supporting U.S. GDP growth…

 

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